Why does this happen?
At present, the number of Chinese social population has begun to show a negative growth trend. If this trend continues to increase, Chinese society will face severe population shrinkage and an aging society; there will be adverse phenomena such as population faults. Such a shrinking population and aging population will further affect the economic growth of the country and cause economic regression and other consequences.
What trends have there been over time
Comparing the data in the two pictures, one is China’s GDP growth rate and population growth rate. We can see from the upper and lower comparison that, in fact, China’s population growth rate and China’s GDP have a positive (+) link.
The decline in China’s population growth rate has also caused our GDP growth to start to slow down. It was an accident in 2008. At that time, the United States happened to have an economic and financial crisis. Therefore, China ’s economy (GDP) will have this rapid growth at that time. Promotion.
And just two years ago, China ’s population growth experienced a cliff-like decline, a direct drop of one percentage point. According to this population growth trend, China will gradually become a state of negative population growth.
What has influenced the patterns?
This is a Causal Loop Diagram. You can understand the reasons for the decline in China’s population through this diagram.
Because this CLD belongs to an enhanced feedback loop, if any element in it increases, the entire cycle will turn into a non-positive growth. And such growth will continue to grow before any element is changed, and if we do not change it, the downward trend in the current Chinese society and later Chinese society will continue.
What keeps the system in place？
I think the main reason for the decline in population is the rapid economic growth now. Such rapid growth makes many people uncomfortable. In other words, prices have also increased rapidly, and such rapid growth will easily lead to inflation. This kind of inflation leads people to have no extra money to have children and raise children but to work harder. The consequence of such an approach is the result of late birth and late childbirth. Under such circumstances and results, the population growth rate in Chinese society will naturally decline rapidly.
So in the final analysis, the main reason for such a problem is the excessive growth of the economy, but we have not been able to adapt to such an economy and society, so it will have negative growth.